ホルムズ海峡の交通が停止する中、原油価格は週間で4年ぶりの大幅上昇へ – ビジネスライブ | ビジネスライブ仕事

International Monetary Fund managing director Kristalina Georgieva has warned that a 10% increase in energy prices that persists for a year would push global inflation up by 40 basis points and slow economic growth by 0.1-0.2%.

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Speaking to Bloomberg TV, Georgieva said:

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“The world economy has been remarkably resilient. Shock after shock, and yet growth is at 3.3%.

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But this resilience is being tested yet again.”

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Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.

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The oil price is on track for its biggest monthly gain in four years, fuelling fears of an inflation spike that will reignite the cost of living crisis and hurt growth around the globe.

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The Iran conflict has driven Brent crude, the international benchmark, has soared by 17.65% this week to over $85 a barrel. That would be the biggest jump since the week to 4 March 2022, after Russia invaded Ukraine.

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Oil has been driven up to the highest levels in 19 months by shortages worries, following attacks on refineries in the region by Iran this week, and on ships in the region.

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Ship traffic in the strait of Hormuz has ground to a near-complete halt, according to the Joint Maritime Information Center, the multinational naval advisory group.

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The JMIC said in a note that only two confirmed commercial transits had been observed through the strait in the past 24 hours, which were cargo ships and not tanker vessels.

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In normal times, around 138 vessels would pass through the strait in a 24-hour period. Now, though, a high concentration of vessels remain at anchor, drifting and at berth in the Arabian Gulf ports, it says.

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JMIC’s security threat rating for the area remains “CRITICAL”, which indicates an attack is almost certain.

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The agenda

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  7am GMT: Halifax house price index for February

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  1.30pm GMT: US non farm payrolls employment data for February

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  1.30pm GMT: US retail sales report for January

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