シアトル・シーホークスはNFCチャンピオンシップゲームに3回出場し、完璧な成績を残している。ロサンゼルス・ラムズはカンファレンスのタイトルゲームへの過去4回の遠征でいずれも勝利を収めている。あるチームの連勝が止まりかけている。
トップシードのシーホークス(14勝3敗)は、日曜東部時間午後6時30分からルーメン・フィールドで2025年NFCチャンピオンシップゲームで第5シードのロサンゼルス・ラムズ(12勝5敗)を迎え、11シーズンぶりにスーパーボウル出場権を獲得しようとしている。
シアトルは1977年から2001年までAFCに在籍していたとき、1983年にロサンゼルス・レイダーズに敗れてカンファレンスチャンピオンシップの唯一の出場を失ったが、シーホークスはNFCに移行して以来このコンテストで負けていない。シーホークスは2005年にカロライナ・パンサーズを、2013年にサンフランシスコ・フォーティナイナーズを、翌年にはグリーンベイ・パッカーズを破った。これらの3試合はすべてシアトルのルーメン・フィールドで行われた。
ラムズはNFCチャンピオンシップゲームに進出した最初の7回のうち6回で負けたが、セントルイスをホームに迎えた2回を含め、最後の4回の出場では勝利している。ごく最近では、クラブは2021年にサンフランシスコを破り、その後シンシナティ・ベンガルズを23対20で破り、フランチャイズ史上2度目となるスーパーボウルのタイトルを獲得した。
NFC西地区王者のシーホークスとラムズは今シーズン2回に分けて対戦し、各クラブがホームで勝利した。ロサンゼルスは第11週、MVPファイナリストのマシュー・スタッフォードがわずか130ヤードしか投げなかったにも関わらず、21対19で勝利を収めた一方、シアトルは第16週に16点差から盛り返し、延長戦の末にラムズを38対37で破った。
ロサンゼルスは、地区ライバル同士のこれまでのプレーオフの対戦ではいずれも勝利しており、2004年には27対20、2020年には30対20で勝利した。シーホークスは2.5点の優勝候補であり、ロサンゼルス対シアトルのNFCチャンピオンシップゲーム対決の最新のドラフトキングスNFLオッズでは、総得点のオーバー/アンダーは46.5となっている。
ラムズ対シーホークスのオッズ
- オープニングスプレッド: シーホークス -2.5
- 開幕マネーライン: シーホークス -155、ラムズ +130
- 開口部合計:47.5
この対戦のポイントスプレッドはドラフトキングスでも変わっていません。 12月18日に両チームがシアトルで対戦したときとの差はわずか1点で、その時はラムズが1.5点差で劣勢に立たされていた。
ラムズのベッティングプロフィール
- Opening win total: 10.5 wins
- W/L record: 14-5 (including playoffs)
- ATS record: 12-7 (including playoffs)
- O/U record: 11-8 (Including playoffs)
The Rams covered the spread in five of their final seven regular-season games but have yet to do so in the playoffs. They were favored by 10 points on the road against the Carolina Panthers in the Wild Card Round but only managed to escape with a 34-31 victory. As 3.5-point road favorites in the Divisional Round, Los Angeles advanced with a 20-17 overtime triumph in Chicago.
All five of the Rams’ regular-season losses were by one score, but only the setback in Seattle was by fewer than three points. Stafford was superb in that Thursday night contest, throwing for 457 yards and three touchdowns — including a pair to Puka Nacua, who finished with 12 receptions for 225 yards. Stafford put up those numbers without the presence of Davante Adams, who missed the game with a hamstring injury.
Stafford had 304 passing yards and three scoring tosses in the Rams’ playoff opener against Carolina but failed to throw for a TD versus Chicago, marking the first time he has gone without a touchdown pass since the team’s 13-9 victory against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 17 last season. Nacua made 10 catches for 111 yards and a TD while also running for a score versus the Panthers but was kept out of the end zone by the Bears as he hauled in five passes for 56 yards.
Seahawks betting profile
- Opening win total: 10.5 wins
- W/L record: 15-3 (including playoffs)
- ATS record: 13-5 (including playoffs)
- O/U record: 10-8 (including playoffs)
The Seahawks covered the spread in their final two regular-season contests after failing to do so in their previous two and did so with ease against the San Francisco 49ers in the Divisional Round. Seattle followed a 10-point victory as a 2.5-point favorite at San Francisco in Week 18 with a 41-6 rout of its NFC West rival at home last week while favored by seven points.
Seattle covered as a three-point underdog in its first meeting with Los Angeles in 2025 but defeated the Rams by just one point as a 1.5-point favorite in the second encounter. Sam Darnold had a performance he’d like to forget in the Week 11 clash as he had 279 passing yards but threw four interceptions without a touchdown in a two-point loss. The 28-year-old was picked off by Los Angeles two more times in Week 16 but had a pair of TD tosses and threw a game-winning 2-point try in overtime.
Darnold entered the Divisional Round against the 49ers nursing an oblique injury but wasn’t required to do much as he completed 12-of-17 pass attempts for 124 yards and a touchdown. Kenneth Walker III provided most of the offense for the Seahawks, rushing 19 times for 116 yards and matching Shaun Alexander’s franchise playoff record with three TD runs.
Walker ran for a score in both regular-season meetings with the Rams and gained 100 yards on the ground in the Week 16 victory. The 25-year-old will be asked to come up with another big effort Sunday as Darnold still is showing up on the injury report and running mate Zach Charbonnet, who led Seattle with a career-high 12 rushing touchdowns, suffered a season-ending torn ACL versus San Francisco last week.
Rams-Seahawks prop pick: Kenneth Walker III Over 19.5 carries
With Charbonnet out and Darnold unlikely to do any running because of his oblique issue, Walker likely is in for a busy day. Velus Jones Jr. rushed six times in mop-up duty last week but was ineffective, gaining only 10 yards. Jones, who had only four carries — all in one game — during the regular season, was placed back on the practice squad. George Holani (hamstring), who is likely to be activated from injured reserve, had 22 carries for 73 yards this season. Former Ram Cam Akers appeared in three games after being signed in late November but did not have a rushing attempt and is on the practice squad.
That leaves me thinking Walker will have a heavy workload. He matched his season high with 19 carries in the Divisional Round victory and has had 20 or more attempts just three times over the last three campaigns after having at least 21 on six occasions as a rookie in 2022. But he had 25 carries against the Rams last year and set a career high with 29 versus Los Angeles in his debut season. What’s more, Walker was rested last week after his third TD run early in the fourth quarter. With head coach Mike Macdonald having very few options, I expect the two-time 1,000-yard rusher to carry the ball at least 20 times with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line.